Lot & Hammer

Notes

Working notes.

The stuff a sale report has no room for. How the houses actually behave, what a price does and doesn't tell you, and the corrections I've had to make.

The Maradona ball, and why I think it doesn't sell 30 Jul 2026

Heritage has the Hand of God ball at a ten million dollar floor. The comparison it's priced against doesn't transfer — and my own data says I might be wrong.

I checked my own record and found I call too high 28 Jul 2026

Across 60 graded lots, 82% of my calls sat above the final price by a median of 42%. Here's the correction, applied before the next set went out rather than after.