Lot & Hammer

Notes

Working notes.

The stuff a sale report has no room for. How the houses actually behave, what a price does and doesn't tell you, and the corrections I've had to make.

The twenty most expensive basketball jerseys ever sold 17 Aug 2026

There is no list of the most expensive jerseys ever sold — only lists of the ones sold by somebody. Four of the real top ten are missing from the one everybody cites.

Graded: Grey Flannel #67 17 Aug 2026 · 5 of 11

Eleven calls graded in public. Five right, six wrong — plus the first lot-by-lot velocity series ever captured on a live sale, and what it says about every call we have made.

Seven for eighteen. Good. 9 Aug 2026

Eighteen calls on Goldin’s Summer Game Used sale, graded in public. Thirty-nine percent — and why the misses, not the hits, are the product.

My strangest finding rests on one sale. Nine more will test it. 31 Jul 2026

One access sale said the market runs backwards. Julien’s is running nine more in five weeks — with a built-in control group. Written before any of them close.

The Maradona ball, and why I think it doesn't sell 30 Jul 2026

Heritage has the Hand of God ball at a ten million dollar floor. The comparison it's priced against doesn't transfer — and my own data says I might be wrong.

I checked my own record and found I call too high 28 Jul 2026

Across 60 graded lots, 82% of my calls sat above the final price by a median of 42%. Here's the correction, applied before the next set went out rather than after.